Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.001465 0.001544 0.001625 0.001714 0.001810 0.001911 0.002024
2025-06-08 0.001345 0.001458 0.001579 0.001718 0.001874 0.002043 0.002243
2025-06-15 0.001248 0.001382 0.001529 0.001703 0.001905 0.002132 0.002410
2025-06-22 0.001177 0.001326 0.001493 0.001696 0.001938 0.002219 0.002574
2025-06-29 0.001114 0.001273 0.001454 0.001680 0.001955 0.002282 0.002707
2025-07-06 0.001058 0.001224 0.001417 0.001661 0.001964 0.002333 0.002825
2025-07-13 0.000998 0.001166 0.001365 0.001619 0.001941 0.002342 0.002886
2025-07-20 0.000968 0.001143 0.001352 0.001624 0.001975 0.002421 0.003041
2025-07-27 0.000943 0.001124 0.001343 0.001634 0.002014 0.002507 0.003208
2025-08-03 0.000925 0.001113 0.001344 0.001654 0.002067 0.002612 0.003406
2025-08-10 0.000899 0.001090 0.001327 0.001650 0.002086 0.002672 0.003543
2025-08-17 0.000863 0.001053 0.001292 0.001620 0.002069 0.002680 0.003604
2025-08-24 0.000833 0.001024 0.001267 0.001605 0.002075 0.002725 0.003730
2025-08-31 0.000813 0.001009 0.001259 0.001613 0.002112 0.002816 0.003930
2025-09-07 0.000787 0.000983 0.001237 0.001600 0.002119 0.002864 0.004068
2025-09-14 0.000766 0.000963 0.001221 0.001594 0.002136 0.002926 0.004230
2025-09-21 0.000742 0.000939 0.001199 0.001579 0.002138 0.002966 0.004358
2025-09-28 0.000719 0.000915 0.001176 0.001561 0.002135 0.002996 0.004472
2025-10-05 0.000690 0.000883 0.001141 0.001523 0.002099 0.002974 0.004496
2025-10-12 0.000677 0.000872 0.001134 0.001528 0.002128 0.003054 0.004698
2025-10-19 0.000667 0.000863 0.001131 0.001537 0.002163 0.003146 0.004928
2025-10-26 0.000660 0.000859 0.001134 0.001555 0.002214 0.003265 0.005216
2025-11-02 0.000646 0.000846 0.001123 0.001551 0.002229 0.003326 0.005400